MATH Semineri: “Threshold Phenomena and the Kahn-Kalai Conjecture”, Yusuf İsa Dural, 14:00 5 Mayıs 2026 (EN)

You are cordially invited to the Analysis Seminar organized by the Department of Mathematics.

Speaker: Yusuf İsa Dural (Bilkent)

“Threshold Phenomena and the Kahn-Kalai Conjecture”

Abstract: In many random discrete structures, one observes a striking threshold phenomenon: as a model parameter passes a critical value, the behavior of the system changes abruptly. For example, in the Erdős–Rényi random graph G(n,p), when the edge probability p crosses an appropriate threshold, an event that was previously very unlikely suddenly becomes highly probable, such as the appearance of a triangle or of a Hamiltonian cycle.
A central question in this area is how to estimate such critical probabilities in general. The Kahn–Kalai conjecture gave a remarkably general prediction, asserting that the threshold of a family of sets can be controlled, up to a logarithmic factor, by its expectation threshold.
This conjecture was proved by Jinyoung Park and Huy Tuan Pham in 2022.
Two years later, Phuc Tran and Van Vu found a much shorter proof. In this talk, I will introduce threshold phenomena and present a proof of the Kahn–Kalai conjecture following the argument of Tran and Vu.
(This is a presentation of a senior project supervised by Gökhan Yıldırım.)

Date: May 5, Tuesday
Time: 14:00-15:00,
Place: SA141